EXPIRES: 2010
WRITTEN: 1993
The great divisions among humankind and the dominating source of conflict will be cultural. The clash of civilizations will dominate global politics. The fault lines between civilizations will be the battle lines of the future.
Written: 1993
Addressed to: the post-Cold War era
Source: "The Clash of Civilizations?" Foreign Affairs
Author: Samuel P. Huntington
Category: Governance
Annotation
Huntington's thesis was presented as an alternative to Fukuyama's End of History. After September 11, 2001, many read Huntington as prophetic. Critics argued he reified civilizations as coherent blocs when most conflicts were intra-civilizational. The thesis's greatest weakness was treating cultures as static; its insight was that ideology would not remain the primary organizing principle of conflict.
What Actually Happened
Post-9/11 conflicts and the rise of political Islam appeared to support the thesis. But intra-civilizational conflicts (Sunni vs. Shia, intra-European disagreements) undermined the clean 'civilizational' framework.