The Expected World

EXPIRES: 2010

WRITTEN: 1993

The great divisions among humankind and the dominating source of conflict will be cultural. The clash of civilizations will dominate global politics. The fault lines between civilizations will be the battle lines of the future.

Samuel P. Huntington

"The Clash of Civilizations?" Foreign Affairs, Vol. 72, No. 3, Summer 1993, p. 22

Written: 1993

Addressed to: the post-Cold War era

Source: "The Clash of Civilizations?" Foreign Affairs

Author: Samuel P. Huntington

Category: Governance


Annotation

Huntington's thesis was presented as an alternative to Fukuyama's End of History. After September 11, 2001, many read Huntington as prophetic. Critics argued he reified civilizations as coherent blocs when most conflicts were intra-civilizational. The thesis's greatest weakness was treating cultures as static; its insight was that ideology would not remain the primary organizing principle of conflict.


What Actually Happened

Post-9/11 conflicts and the rise of political Islam appeared to support the thesis. But intra-civilizational conflicts (Sunni vs. Shia, intra-European disagreements) undermined the clean 'civilizational' framework.

#civilizations#conflict#foreign-affairs#cultural-determinism#post-cold-war

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