Annotation
Meadows was the lead author and primary writer of the most controversial environmental forecast of the twentieth century. The report was savaged by economists — particularly Julian Simon and William Nordhaus — as neo-Malthusian doom-mongering. But subsequent analyses, notably Graham Turner's 2008 and 2014 comparisons of actual data against the original scenarios, found that the 'standard run' (business as usual) tracked real-world data with disturbing accuracy through its first forty years.
What Happened So Far
Turner (2008, 2014) at the University of Melbourne found actual global data for 1970–2010 closely matched the 'standard run' scenario. The report's rehabilitation has been gradual but substantial.
#growth#sustainability#population#resources#modeling#Club-of-Rome