Annotation
Grahame-White, a pioneer aviator and tireless promoter, predicted mass air travel within twenty years. By 1934, US airlines carried a total of 460,000 passengers for the entire year — a rounding error compared to the railroads. The Douglas DC-3, which made commercial aviation economically viable, did not fly until 1935, and true mass air travel waited for the Boeing 707 (1958) and the 747 (1970). He was off by roughly a generation, which is the standard margin of error for predictions made by people in love with their own technology.
What Actually Happened
By 1934, US airlines carried a total of 460,000 passengers for the entire year — a rounding error compared to rail. The Douglas DC-3, which made commercial aviation economically viable, did not fly until 1935. True mass air travel arrived only with the Boeing 707 (1958) and the 747 (1970). Air travel was not remotely as universal in 1934 as train travel was in 1914; Grahame-White was off by roughly a generation.