0000
Written
1930
Addressed to
1930-1970

[...] we have been expressly evolved by nature-with all our impulses and deepest instincts-for the purpose of solving the economic problem. If the economic problem is solved, mankind will be deprived of its traditional purpose. Will this be a benefit? If one believes at all in the real values of life, the prospect at least opens up the possibility of benefit. Yet I think with dread of the readjustment of the habits and instincts of the ordinary man, bred into him for countless generations, which he may be asked to discard within a few decades.

John Maynard Keynes

Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren

Annotation

Keynes feared that solving the economic problem would leave humanity purposeless, prone to 'nervous breakdown.' Anne Case and Angus Deaton's research on deaths of despair — rising suicide, overdose, and alcoholism among displaced American workers — reads like the dark footnote to this passage. Keynes imagined the crisis would come from too much leisure; instead it came from the loss of labor's dignity without any corresponding gain in freedom. He was right about the void, wrong about which end of the income ladder would fall into it.

What Actually Happened

Productivity rose enormously between 1930 and 1970, broadly in line with Keynes's expectations, but the economic problem was not 'solved' — inequality persisted, and most workers did not gain significant leisure. By the early twenty-first century, deaths of despair — suicide, overdose, alcoholism — rose sharply among displaced American workers, a crisis of purposelessness that echoed Keynes's fears. The void arrived not from too much leisure but from the loss of labor's dignity.

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