0000
Written
2003
Addressed to
2010s

Viewed within a multiparadigmatic framework, cognitive psychology may be the most likely of the existing schools to move psychology to the Kuhnian stage of normal science. However, the apparent emergence of the neuroscientific school allows us to question how long the cognitive school will remain dominant, and it is possible that within the next decade the two schools will directly compete for transcendence.

Jessica L. Tracy, Richard W. Robins, Samuel D. Gosling

Tracking Trends in Psychological Science

Annotation

Neuroscience did surge in prestige and funding through the 2010s, but its bid for paradigmatic dominance was undermined by the replication crisis: fMRI studies proved particularly unreliable, and when seventy independent teams analyzed the same neuroimaging dataset, they used seventy different analytical pipelines and reached substantially different conclusions. The two schools did not so much compete as merge into cognitive neuroscience, making the Kuhnian horse race Tracy, Robins, and Gosling anticipated somewhat moot.

What Actually Happened

Neuroscience surged in prestige and funding through the 2010s — the US BRAIN Initiative (2013) and the EU Human Brain Project (2013) poured billions into the field. However, the replication crisis hit neuroscience hard: fMRI studies proved particularly unreliable, and a 2020 study showed seventy independent teams analyzing the same neuroimaging dataset reached substantially different conclusions using different analytical pipelines. The two schools merged into cognitive neuroscience rather than competing for dominance, making the Kuhnian framework largely inapplicable.

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